@Article{CavalcantiSilv:2016:ChPrOv,
               author = "Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque and Silveira, Virginia 
                         Piccinini",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and {Instituto 
                         Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Changes in precipitation over the La Plata Basin, projected by 
                         CLARIS-LPB regional models",
              journal = "Climate Research",
                 year = "2016",
               volume = "68",
               number = "2-3",
                pages = "169--182",
                 note = "{Setores de Atividade: Pesquisa e desenvolvimento 
                         cient{\'{\i}}fico.}",
             keywords = "climate change projections, extreme precipitation, Bacia La 
                         Plata.",
             abstract = "The La Plata Basin (LPB) is an important region for social and 
                         economic sectors of South America, mainly as a source of water and 
                         for agriculture. Regional models are used to analyze changes in 
                         precipitation over South America in order to provide more details 
                         of the projected changes in specific regions. Results of regional 
                         models from the CLARIS-LPB project are analyzed to assess changes 
                         and uncertainties in future projections for the LPB compared to 
                         the base period. Results from several models are taken into 
                         account in order to assess uncertainties. The models agree in 
                         projecting more precipitation in the whole basin and in an 
                         increased frequency of extreme wet austral summers. The majority 
                         of models agree in projections of drier conditions in the upper 
                         LPB and an increase in the frequency of extreme dry austral 
                         winters and springs. However, in the lower LPB the projections 
                         indicate an increase in the frequency of extreme wet winters and 
                         springs. In austral autumn the uncertainties are high in the upper 
                         LPB. The uncertainties are low regarding increases in the 
                         frequency of rainy days in the middle and lower LPB and in the 
                         maximum number of consecutive dry days in the upper LPB. The 
                         projected patterns of austral summer anomaly precipitation 
                         variability obtained from empirical orthogonal function analysis 
                         display the same dipole between southern LPB and the South 
                         Atlantic Convergence Zone as in the base period, but increased 
                         anomalies in the northern center. In the austral winter the only 
                         anomaly signal simulated in the base period remains in the future 
                         projections, but the maximum variability is displaced 
                         southwards.",
                  doi = "10.3354/cr01388",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.3354/cr01388",
                 issn = "0936-577X",
                label = "lattes: 6731029375224939 1 CavalcantiSilv:2016:ChPrOv",
             language = "en",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}